默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bodø/Glimt v Union Saint-Gilloise

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Bodø/Glimt 3–2 Union Saint-Gilloise

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bodø/Glimt (主队)

预测 55.64%1.80公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.83%
Kelly -4.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
54.67%55.66%55.73%57.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.671.661.7462.50%60.04%60.24%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Union Saint-Gilloise (客队)

预测 21.06%4.75公平赔率
EV +4.26%
优势 +0.860%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.046%

假设最高赔率为 4.95

博彩公司预测分布
19.15%21.05%20.96%22.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.424.404.9525.00%22.65%22.73%20.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.30%4.29公平赔率
EV -0.986%
优势 -0.232%
Kelly -0.303%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.38%23.29%23.31%24.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.004.004.2526.32%25.00%25.00%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bodø/Glimt (主队):55.64%;Union Saint-Gilloise (客队):21.06%;平局:23.30%。 对于“Union Saint-Gilloise (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.75。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.95,对应+4.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.45%EV -8.19%E -4.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV +4.26%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.046%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.40%EV -5.65%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.45%EV -8.19%E -4.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV +4.26%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.046%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.40%EV -5.65%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 15:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -8.19%E -4.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.39%EV +3.41%E +0.695%K +0.873%G +0.030%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.89%EV -3.08%E -0.741%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -8.19%E -4.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.01%E -0.215%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.32%E -0.799%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.84%EV -2.06%E -0.443%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -0.986%E -0.232%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 15:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.11%E -0.677%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -3.11%E -0.677%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.00%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.17%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 15:49
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.22%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 15:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 15:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 15:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.33%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -8.80%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.07%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.07%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 15:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -8.19%E -4.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.43%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.49%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -10.49%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.54%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.54%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.54%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.54%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-11 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -13.65%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -13.65%E -3.33%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.75%E -3.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-11 15:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-08-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-08-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-11 15:55