Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus v Sabah FK

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 66.64%1.50fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -10.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.19%66.64%66.65%67.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4373.53%71.07%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabah FK (Visit)

Prediction 12.73%7.86fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.46%12.73%12.61%14.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.506.906.757.5015.38%14.50%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.63%4.85fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%20.63%20.74%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.484.504.6022.73%22.32%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:44
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:45
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:45
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:45
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:45
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:44
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.37%E -3.78%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 09:45
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.37%E -3.78%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 09:44
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.37%E -3.78%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 09:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.54%E -0.606%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 10:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.54%E -0.606%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 10:15
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.82%E -0.786%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 09:45
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 09:45
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.64%EV -7.37%E -5.30%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -7.73%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 10:15
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.04%E -5.82%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.91%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.15%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 10:13
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.04%E -5.82%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.91%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 10:15
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -9.37%E -6.89%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.91%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-30 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -9.37%E -6.89%K -26.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.91%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-30 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.