默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AGF Aarhus v Sabah FK

开赛时间: 2026-08-05 17:10 UTC

最终结果: AGF Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AGF Aarhus (主队)

预测 53.38%1.87公平赔率
EV -3.91%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -4.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%53.33%53.38%56.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.701.671.8061.73%58.99%59.88%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sabah FK (客队)

预测 21.05%4.75公平赔率
EV +3.15%
优势 +0.642%
Kelly +0.806%
增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.14%21.08%21.05%21.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.644.754.9023.81%21.57%21.05%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.57%3.91公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -0.748%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.42%25.59%25.57%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.723.703.8028.57%26.88%27.03%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AGF Aarhus (主队):53.38%;Sabah FK (客队):21.05%;平局:25.57%。 对于“Sabah FK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.75。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.90,对应+3.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.15%E +0.642%K +0.806%G +0.025%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -11.92%E -7.22%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +1.04%E +0.217%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -11.92%E -7.22%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +1.04%E +0.217%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -11.92%E -7.22%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV +1.04%E +0.217%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -13.52%E -8.35%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -13.52%E -8.35%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.31%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.83%EV -4.64%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.31%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.83%EV -4.64%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:03
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.32%E -6.14%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.72%E -5.10%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.58%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 17:04
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.72%E -5.10%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-05 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-05 17:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-05 17:05