Language:English
AEK Athens v PFC Levski Sofia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Athens (Local)
Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd
EV -0.169%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.313%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.67%64.60%64.90%66.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.5473.53%69.93%69.93%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PFC Levski Sofia (Visit)
Prediction 12.48%8.01fair odd
EV -0.184%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.87%12.59%12.43%15.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.027.267.508.0016.61%13.78%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.70%4.41fair odd
EV -0.131%
Edge -0.030%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.07%22.81%22.66%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.204.4026.67%24.01%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 64.83%; PFC Levski Sofia (Visit): 12.48%; Draw: 22.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.131%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.67%EV -0.169%E -0.110%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.78%EV -24.89%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.56%EV -4.44%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.09%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -9.54%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 18:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.21%EV -2.06%E -0.262%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.14%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV -1.81%E -0.229%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.51%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.44%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -15.78%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -8.92%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.40%E -0.558%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.48%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -9.54%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -9.24%E -6.60%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -8.92%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.24%E -6.60%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.64%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.64%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |