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AEK Athens v PFC Levski Sofia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 64.83%1.54momio equitativo
EV -0.169%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.313%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.67%64.60%64.90%66.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.431.5473.53%69.93%69.93%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
PFC Levski Sofia (Visitante)
Predicción 12.48%8.01momio equitativo
EV -0.184%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.026%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.87%12.59%12.43%15.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.027.267.508.0016.61%13.78%13.33%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.70%4.41momio equitativo
EV -0.131%
Ventaja -0.030%
Kelly -0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.07%22.81%22.66%24.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.204.4026.67%24.01%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: AEK Athens (Local): 64.83%; PFC Levski Sofia (Visitante): 12.48%; Empate: 22.70%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.41. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.40, con un valor esperado de -0.131%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.67%EV -0.169%E -0.110%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.78%EV -24.89%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.56%EV -4.44%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.09%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -9.54%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 18:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.21%EV -2.06%E -0.262%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.14%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV -1.81%E -0.229%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -0.999%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.51%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.184%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.44%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -15.78%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.88%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-26 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -8.92%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.90%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.40%E -0.558%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.48%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -9.54%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.42%E -0.856%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -9.24%E -6.60%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -8.92%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -0.131%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.24%E -6.60%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.64%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.64%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -3.54%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.84%E -8.70%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.66%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |