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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
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Real Madrid v PSV Eindhoven

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Real Madrid (Hemma)

Prognos 78.05%1.28rättvist odds
EV -2.44%
Fördel -1.95%
Kelly -9.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.24%78.05%77.98%80.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.201.201.2588.50%83.45%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Borta)

Prognos 9.25%10.81rättvist odds
EV +20.27%
Fördel +1.56%
Kelly +1.69%
Tillväxt +0.343%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.40%9.21%9.40%11.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.0010.5310.5013.0012.50%9.50%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 12.70%7.87rättvist odds
EV +5.42%
Fördel +0.653%
Kelly +0.743%
Tillväxt +0.040%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.61%12.74%12.62%14.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.257.337.508.3016.00%13.64%13.33%12.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Real Madrid (Hemma): 78.05%; PSV Eindhoven (Borta): 9.25%; Oavgjort: 12.70%. För PSV Eindhoven (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.81. 16 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 13.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +20.27%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.98%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +5.42%E +0.653%K +0.743%G +0.040%3.8%2026-11-05 12:34
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.18%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV -1.56%E -0.202%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-05 12:38
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +15.65%E +1.25%K +1.36%G +0.213%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.62%EV +4.15%E +0.507%K +0.577%G +0.024%4.9%2026-11-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 08:30
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 79.25%EV -3.22%E -2.60%K -13.43%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.47%EV +7.32%E +0.631%K +0.691%G +0.051%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%1.8%2026-11-05 07:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +6.40%E +0.556%K +0.609%G +0.039%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -4.78%E -3.92%K -21.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%EV -3.47%E -0.456%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.23%EV -2.44%E -1.95%K -9.77%G +0.000%10.42I 9.60%NM 9.26%EV -3.60%E -0.345%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.50%EV -9.18%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.58%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-05 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.31%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%9.86I 10.14%NM 9.61%EV -8.78%E -0.890%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.84I 12.76%NM 12.09%EV -0.419%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-05 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.13%EV -8.69%E -7.42%K -51.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-05 07:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.55%EV -11.81%E -10.45%K -90.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.47%EV -14.42%E -1.56%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-05 08:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 11:00
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.24%EV -17.66%E -1.98%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.81%EV -16.17%E -2.45%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.46%EV -11.81%E -10.45%K -90.83%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.05%EV -20.43%E -2.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.50%EV -18.71%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-05 08:35
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.12%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-05 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.24%EV -8.69%E -7.42%K -51.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.67%EV -23.67%E -2.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -20.61%E -3.30%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-05 07:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.94%EV -9.47%E -8.16%K -59.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -25.99%E -3.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.05%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-05 11:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 73.93%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.28%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.79%16.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Arbitrage (4 kombinationer) +0.26%GTbets 1.25 (80.2%) / NordicBet 13.00 (7.7%) / NordicBet 8.30 (12.1%)Visa alla 4 kombinationer
Real Madrid (Hemma)PSV Eindhoven (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.2%)NordicBet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)NordicBet🎯 8.30 (12.1%)+0.260%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.2%)Coolbet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)NordicBet🎯 8.30 (12.1%)+0.260%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.1%)NordicBet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)Betsson🎯 8.20 (12.2%)+0.113%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.1%)Coolbet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)Betsson🎯 8.20 (12.2%)+0.113%