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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Real Madrid v PSV Eindhoven

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 78.05%1.28quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.95%
Kelly -9.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.24%78.05%77.98%80.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.201.201.2588.50%83.45%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.25%10.81quota equa
EV +20.27%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.343%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.40%9.21%9.40%11.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.5310.5013.0012.50%9.50%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 12.70%7.87quota equa
EV +5.42%
Vantaggio +0.653%
Kelly +0.743%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.61%12.74%12.62%14.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.337.508.3016.00%13.64%13.33%12.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Real Madrid (Casa): 78.05%; PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta): 9.25%; Pareggio: 12.70%. Per PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 10.81. 16 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 13.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +20.27%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.98%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +5.42%E +0.653%K +0.743%G +0.040%3.8%2026-11-05 12:34
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.18%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV +20.27%E +1.56%K +1.69%G +0.343%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV -1.56%E -0.202%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-05 12:38
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +15.65%E +1.25%K +1.36%G +0.213%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.62%EV +4.15%E +0.507%K +0.577%G +0.024%4.9%2026-11-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.00%E -3.25%K -17.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%2.1%2026-11-05 07:45
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +11.02%E +0.918%K +1.00%G +0.110%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 08:30
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 79.25%EV -3.22%E -2.60%K -13.43%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.47%EV +7.32%E +0.631%K +0.691%G +0.051%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.230%G +0.004%1.8%2026-11-05 07:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +6.40%E +0.556%K +0.609%G +0.039%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%EV -4.78%E -3.92%K -21.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%EV -3.47%E -0.456%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -2.86%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-05 07:45
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.23%EV -2.44%E -1.95%K -9.77%G +0.000%10.42I 9.60%NM 9.26%EV -3.60%E -0.345%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.50%EV -9.18%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.58%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-05 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.31%EV -5.56%E -4.60%K -26.49%G +0.000%9.86I 10.14%NM 9.61%EV -8.78%E -0.890%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.84I 12.76%NM 12.09%EV -0.419%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-05 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.13%EV -8.69%E -7.42%K -51.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-05 07:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.55%EV -11.81%E -10.45%K -90.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.47%EV -14.42%E -1.56%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-05 08:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -7.12%E -5.99%K -37.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 11:00
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -6.34%E -5.29%K -31.72%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.24%EV -17.66%E -1.98%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.81%EV -16.17%E -2.45%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-05 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.46%EV -11.81%E -10.45%K -90.83%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.05%EV -20.43%E -2.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.50%EV -18.71%E -2.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-05 08:35
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.12%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-05 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.24%EV -8.69%E -7.42%K -51.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.67%EV -23.67%E -2.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -20.61%E -3.30%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-05 07:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.94%EV -9.47%E -8.16%K -59.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -25.99%E -3.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.05%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-05 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 73.93%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.28%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.79%16.6%2026-11-05 07:45
Arbitraggio (4 combinazioni) +0.26%GTbets 1.25 (80.2%) / NordicBet 13.00 (7.7%) / NordicBet 8.30 (12.1%)Mostra tutte le 4 combinazioni
Real Madrid (Casa)PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.2%)NordicBet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)NordicBet🎯 8.30 (12.1%)+0.260%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.2%)Coolbet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)NordicBet🎯 8.30 (12.1%)+0.260%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.1%)NordicBet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)Betsson🎯 8.20 (12.2%)+0.113%
GTbets🎯 1.25 (80.1%)Coolbet🎯 13.00 (7.7%)Betsson🎯 8.20 (12.2%)+0.113%