A Escola das Odds

Paris Saint Germain v Liverpool

Início: 2026-04-07 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Previsão 48.99%2.04odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.84%48.94%49.07%51.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.45%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liverpool (Visitante)

Previsão 26.49%3.78odd justa
EV +7.80%
Vantagem +1.92%
Kelly +2.54%
Crescimento +0.198%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.19%26.56%26.42%28.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.504.0730.77%28.41%28.57%24.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.52%4.08odd justa
EV +0.539%
Vantagem +0.132%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.50%24.50%24.50%26.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.813.804.1030.77%26.21%26.32%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.19%EV +7.80%E +1.92%K +2.54%G +0.198%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.55%EV -1.67%E -0.416%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-19 00:19
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.93%EV -4.96%E -2.56%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV +1.18%E +0.309%K +0.419%G +0.005%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -3.87%E -0.988%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 09:20
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:10
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.18%EV -4.96%E -2.56%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -0.143%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 06:54
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -13.29%E -7.51%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.43%EV -8.78%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 00:23
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 12:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 12:44
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -9.86%E -5.36%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +0.539%E +0.132%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-19 11:09
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.63%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 05:35
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.63%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 05:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 08:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 13:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 13:16
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -12.80%E -7.19%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -11.33%E -6.26%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -7.82%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-19 00:08
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.84%E -5.95%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 13:20
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 11:10
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.37%E -5.06%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 13:19
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.37%E -5.06%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.95%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-19 07:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -10.35%E -5.65%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -20.30%E -6.25%K -9.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-19 13:19
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.06%EV -13.39%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.65%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 07:31
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 22:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%11.7%2026-03-19 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%11.7%2026-03-19 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%11.7%2026-03-19 15:24
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 35.31%1.57I 63.69%NM 43.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 21.29%46.8%2026-03-19 15:23