L’École des cotesFrançais
Paris Saint Germain v Liverpool
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Paris Saint Germain (Local)
Prévision 48.99%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%48.94%49.07%51.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.45%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Liverpool (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.49%3.78cote équitable
EV +7.80%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +2.54%
Croissance +0.198%
avec la cote maximale 4.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.19%26.56%26.42%28.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.504.0730.77%28.41%28.57%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.52%4.08cote équitable
EV +0.539%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.50%24.50%24.50%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.1030.77%26.21%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -5.94%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.19%EV +7.80%E +1.92%K +2.54%G +0.198% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.55%EV -1.67%E -0.416%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.93%EV -4.96%E -2.56%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV +1.18%E +0.309%K +0.419%G +0.005% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -3.87%E -0.988%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 09:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.18%EV -4.96%E -2.56%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -0.143%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 06:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -13.29%E -7.51%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.43%EV -8.78%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 00:23 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -9.86%E -5.36%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +0.539%E +0.132%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.63%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 05:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -3.98%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.63%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 05:35 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 13:16 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -12.80%E -7.19%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -11.33%E -6.26%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -7.82%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-19 00:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.84%E -5.95%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.47%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.43%E -3.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 11:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.37%E -5.06%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.37%E -5.06%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.95%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-19 07:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -10.35%E -5.65%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -20.30%E -6.25%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.92%E -3.64%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.06%EV -13.39%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.65%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 07:31 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 15:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 35.31% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 43.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 21.29% | 46.8% | 2026-03-19 15:23 |