Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liverpool v Atlético Madrid

2026-09-09 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liverpool (Local)

Previsão 54.08%1.85odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.43%54.14%54.24%55.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.06%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlético Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 21.59%4.63odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.312%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.03%21.54%21.60%22.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.324.334.5827.03%23.17%23.09%21.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.33%4.11odd justa
EV +0.226%
Vantagem +0.055%
Kelly +0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.61%24.32%24.17%24.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.823.804.1228.99%26.15%26.32%24.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Liverpool (Local): 54.08%; Atlético Madrid (Visitante): 21.59%; Empate: 24.33%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.11. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.12, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.226%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.06%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.28%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.66%EV +0.226%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.30%EV -1.76%E -0.388%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -0.261%E -0.064%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -2.84%E -0.632%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.69%E -0.673%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.69%E -0.673%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:24
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.56%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.01%EV -3.42%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.51%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.89%EV -3.42%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 00:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.18%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -3.91%E -0.990%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.84%E -0.632%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.11%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:04
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:00
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 19:05
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 23:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.16%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.75%EV -10.48%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:28
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.34%EV -10.76%E -6.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 20:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.38%EV -12.39%E -7.65%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.43%EV -12.39%E -7.65%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.95%EV -20.12%E -5.44%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-29 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 52.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%16.8%2026-08-29 18:30