Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Liverpool v Atlético Madrid

2026-09-09 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Liverpool (Local)

Prévision 54.08%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.43%54.14%54.24%55.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.06%58.14%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.312%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.03%21.54%21.60%22.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.324.334.5827.03%23.17%23.09%21.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV +0.226%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%24.32%24.17%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.823.804.1228.99%26.15%26.32%24.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Liverpool (Local) : 54.08% ; Atlético Madrid (Visiteur) : 21.59% ; Match nul : 24.33%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.12, pour une espérance positive de +0.226%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.06%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.28%EV -1.12%E -0.244%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.66%EV +0.226%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.30%EV -1.76%E -0.388%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -0.261%E -0.064%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -2.84%E -0.632%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.69%E -0.673%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.69%E -0.673%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:24
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.56%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.01%EV -3.42%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.51%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.89%EV -3.42%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 00:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.18%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -3.91%E -0.990%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.84%E -0.632%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.11%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.13%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:04
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:00
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 19:05
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 23:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.16%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.75%EV -10.48%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:28
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.34%EV -10.76%E -6.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 20:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.38%EV -12.39%E -7.65%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -11.21%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.43%EV -12.39%E -7.65%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.95%EV -20.12%E -5.44%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-29 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 52.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%16.8%2026-08-29 18:30