Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fenerbahce v Liverpool

2026-11-04 17:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.697%
Avantage -0.174%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.32%24.76%24.87%26.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.813.754.0030.30%26.28%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liverpool (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.25%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.86%50.25%50.19%51.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.841.841.9457.47%54.39%54.35%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.312%
Avantage -0.078%
Kelly -0.104%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.99%24.94%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.753.804.0029.85%26.69%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Fenerbahce (Local) : 24.83% ; Liverpool (Visiteur) : 50.25% ; Match nul : 24.92%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance de -0.312% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.55%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 22:50
1xBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.71%EV -1.19%E -0.300%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%EV -2.51%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-21 21:40
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 22:40
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.18%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -3.68%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 21:26
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 00:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.39%EV -11.56%E -6.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-21 22:20
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.03%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:25
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-21 22:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 22:04
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 21:09
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 21:27
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 21:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 21:27
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 21:27
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 21:27
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 22:25
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:05
picklebet_au🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-21 21:10
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 21:10
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 21:10
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -3.01%E -1.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 21:27
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:42
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-22 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.60%EV -11.05%E -6.24%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -14.77%E -4.32%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-21 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.78%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-21 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.86%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.38%EV -16.51%E -4.93%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-21 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-10-21 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%93.5%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%93.5%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.47%1.08I 92.59%NM 47.06%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.47%96.8%2026-10-21 22:20