StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fenerbahce v Liverpool

2026-11-04 17:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fenerbahce (Heim)

Prognose 24.83%4.03faire Quote
EV -0.697%
Vorteil -0.174%
Kelly -0.232%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.32%24.76%24.87%26.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.813.754.0030.30%26.28%26.67%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Liverpool (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.25%1.99faire Quote
EV -2.51%
Vorteil -1.29%
Kelly -2.67%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.94

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.86%50.25%50.19%51.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.741.841.841.9457.47%54.39%54.35%51.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.92%4.01faire Quote
EV -0.312%
Vorteil -0.078%
Kelly -0.104%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.52%24.99%24.94%26.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.753.804.0029.85%26.69%26.32%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Fenerbahce (Heim): 24.83%; Liverpool (Auswärts): 50.25%; Unentschieden: 24.92%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.01. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.00, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.312%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.04%E -5.00%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -0.697%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.55%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 22:50
1xBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.71%EV -1.19%E -0.300%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%EV -2.51%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-21 21:40
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 22:40
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.18%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -3.68%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 21:26
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 00:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.39%EV -11.56%E -6.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-21 22:20
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.03%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:25
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-21 22:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.312%E -0.078%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 22:04
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 21:09
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 21:27
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 21:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 21:27
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 21:27
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 21:27
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -2.80%E -0.719%K -0.967%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 22:25
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:00
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:05
picklebet_au🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-21 21:10
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 21:10
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.54%E -4.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 21:10
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -3.01%E -1.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 21:27
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 22:42
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-22 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.60%EV -11.05%E -6.24%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -14.77%E -4.32%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-21 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.75%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.78%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-21 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.86%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.38%EV -16.51%E -4.93%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-21 21:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-10-21 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%93.5%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.92%93.5%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 26.47%1.08I 92.59%NM 47.06%1.92I 52.08%NM 26.47%96.8%2026-10-21 22:20