Language:English
Como v RB Leipzig
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Como (Local)
Prediction 51.68%1.94fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.32%51.55%51.67%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.54%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Leipzig (Visit)
Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.21%24.16%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.1027.78%25.71%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -0.301%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.24%24.16%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.854.1227.78%25.75%25.97%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Como (Local): 51.68%; RB Leipzig (Visit): 24.12%; Draw: 24.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.12, with an expected value of -0.301%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.87%EV -1.81%E -0.954%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.92%EV -0.301%E -0.073%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 06:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -1.81%E -0.954%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.01%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.14%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 07:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -3.88%E -2.09%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.30%E -0.567%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV -3.69%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 14:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.77%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.77%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV -4.95%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 14:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 06:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.74%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.95%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -11.95%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.74%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |