Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Como v RB Leipzig

Início: 2026-09-10 19:00 UTC

Final: Como 4–1 RB Leipzig

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Como (Local)

Previsão 51.68%1.94odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.954%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.32%51.55%51.67%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.54%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

RB Leipzig (Visitante)

Previsão 24.12%4.15odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.36%24.21%24.16%26.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.904.1027.78%25.71%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.20%4.13odd justa
EV -0.301%
Vantagem -0.073%
Kelly -0.097%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.32%24.24%24.16%24.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.883.854.1227.78%25.75%25.97%24.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Como (Local): 51.68%; RB Leipzig (Visitante): 24.12%; Empate: 24.20%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.12, com valor esperado de -0.301%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.87%EV -1.81%E -0.954%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.92%EV -0.301%E -0.073%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-09 06:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -1.81%E -0.954%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.01%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.14%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 07:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.93%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -3.88%E -2.09%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.30%E -0.567%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV -3.69%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 14:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.19%EV -3.45%E -0.864%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.77%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.77%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.09%E -0.266%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:05
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV -4.95%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 21:00
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 14:53
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 16:41
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 07:04
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:36
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:36
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 05:04
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.71%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:36
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.50%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 06:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 08:45
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.12%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.74%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:41
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.21%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.33%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 15:30
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 14:02
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.95%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 10:39
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -11.95%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 14:55
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.74%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 11:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 07:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 07:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.56%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 07:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-09 17:21
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-09 17:16
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-09 17:21