Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como v Manchester United

2026-10-21 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como (Local)

Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%41.68%41.68%42.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.232.202.3546.08%44.86%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester United (Visit)

Prediction 32.41%3.09fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.38%32.43%32.32%33.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.823.0536.36%35.00%35.46%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -0.254%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.89%25.99%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.503.8529.41%28.27%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Como (Local): 41.68%; Manchester United (Visit): 32.41%; Draw: 25.91%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -0.254%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.86%EV -2.05%E -0.873%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.25%EV -1.14%E -0.375%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-14 22:34
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -2.05%E -0.873%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.254%E -0.066%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-14 23:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.78%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.25%EV -3.41%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.64%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 22:10
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 22:09
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 00:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.84%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.26%EV -3.74%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 22:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.30%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 22:09
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.71%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-14 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 22:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 22:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 22:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:30
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-14 23:29
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.50%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.71%EV -5.68%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -0.513%E -0.134%K -0.181%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-14 23:25
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 22:10
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.30%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.26%EV -10.36%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -9.25%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -8.60%E -3.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-10-15 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-10-15 00:09
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%7.4%2026-10-15 00:45
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%8.3%2026-10-14 22:14