The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Club Brugge v Liverpool

2026-11-25 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 22.65%4.42fair odd
EV +10.96%
Edge +2.24%
Kelly +2.81%
Growth +0.308%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.91%22.62%22.62%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.324.304.9027.40%23.15%23.26%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liverpool (Visit)

Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.07%55.67%55.68%58.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.661.671.7664.94%60.26%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%21.71%21.70%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.934.304.334.5125.45%23.27%23.09%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Club Brugge (Local): 22.65%; Liverpool (Visit): 55.64%; Draw: 21.72%. For Club Brugge (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.90, producing a positive expected value of +10.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +7.57%E +1.59%K +2.02%G +0.153%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 13:00
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 12:59
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 12:59
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 13:00
1xBet🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 22.30%EV -0.133%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.81%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-05 12:05
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.359%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -3.37%E -0.756%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 12:10
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -1.49%E -0.343%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -2.62%E -0.610%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-05 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -2.62%E -0.610%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05%EV -13.20%E -8.46%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-05 12:59
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.48%EV -4.21%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.26%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.27%EV -2.93%E -0.656%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.67%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 12:38
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -5.97%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-05 12:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.97%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-05 12:11
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 08:30
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 08:25
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 12:04
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-05 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.09%E -7.65%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-05 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-05 11:00
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-05 12:04
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-05 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.86%EV -14.32%E -9.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-05 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.52%EV -15.53%E -4.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.32%EV -14.66%E -3.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 12:03
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -17.34%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-05 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%16.2%2026-11-05 12:05
Arbitrage (52 combinations) +0.60%Unibet (SE) 4.90 (20.5%) / 1xBet 1.76 (57.2%) / 1xBet 4.51 (22.3%)Show all 52 combinations
Club Brugge (Local)Liverpool (Visit)DrawMargin
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%

Showing 50 of 52 combinations