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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Club Brugge v Liverpool

2026-11-25 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 22.65%4.42momio equitativo
EV +10.96%
Ventaja +2.24%
Kelly +2.81%
Crecimiento +0.308%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.91%22.62%22.62%24.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.324.304.9027.40%23.15%23.26%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liverpool (Visitante)

Predicción 55.64%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.07%55.67%55.68%58.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.661.671.7664.94%60.26%59.88%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.457%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.96%21.71%21.70%22.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.934.304.334.5125.45%23.27%23.09%22.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Club Brugge (Local): 22.65%; Liverpool (Visitante): 55.64%; Empate: 21.72%. Para Club Brugge (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.42. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +10.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.91%EV +10.96%E +2.24%K +2.81%G +0.308%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.41%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-05 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +7.57%E +1.59%K +2.02%G +0.153%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 13:00
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +6.43%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.112%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:59
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 12:59
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +4.17%E +0.906%K +1.16%G +0.048%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 12:59
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV +1.91%E +0.423%K +0.544%G +0.010%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 13:00
1xBet🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 22.30%EV -0.133%E -0.030%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.81%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-05 12:05
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.359%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -3.37%E -0.756%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 12:10
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -1.49%E -0.343%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -2.62%E -0.610%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-05 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -2.62%E -0.610%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05%EV -13.20%E -8.46%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-05 12:59
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.48%EV -4.21%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.26%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.27%EV -2.93%E -0.656%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 12:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.67%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 12:38
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -5.97%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-05 12:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.97%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-05 12:11
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 08:30
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 08:25
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 12:04
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-05 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.09%E -7.65%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-05 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-05 11:00
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-05 12:04
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-05 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.86%EV -14.32%E -9.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-05 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.52%EV -15.53%E -4.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.32%EV -14.66%E -3.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 12:03
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -17.34%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-05 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%16.2%2026-11-05 12:05
Arbitraje (52 combinaciones) +0.60%Unibet (SE) 4.90 (20.5%) / 1xBet 1.76 (57.2%) / 1xBet 4.51 (22.3%)Ver las 52 combinaciones
Club Brugge (Local)Liverpool (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.2%)1xBet🎯 4.51 (22.3%)+0.604%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)betfred_uk🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.554%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)Pinnacle🎯 4.47 (22.5%)+0.404%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.5%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.0%)NordicBet🎯 4.45 (22.5%)+0.303%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Unibet (NL)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
Svenska Spel🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)DraftKings🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%
ATG (SE)🎯 4.90 (20.4%)1xBet🎯 1.76 (56.8%)Betsson🎯 4.40 (22.7%)+0.046%

Mostrando 50 de 52 combinaciones