The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund

2026-10-14 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -0.812%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.361%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%30.53%30.50%31.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.003.2535.09%33.04%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Borussia Dortmund (Visit)

Prediction 45.46%2.20fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%45.45%45.50%46.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.072.1652.63%48.79%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV -0.063%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.020%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.90%24.02%24.00%25.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.533.893.904.1628.33%25.68%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 30.52%; Borussia Dortmund (Visit): 45.46%; Draw: 24.02%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.163. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.160, with an expected value of -0.063%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.812%E -0.250%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.812%E -0.250%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:18
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.34%E -0.731%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.54%EV -4.99%E -2.39%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.83%EV -2.64%E -0.829%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%EV -1.81%E -0.839%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.64%EV -0.063%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.53%EV -2.95%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:17
ReBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 29.76%EV -6.61%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.30%EV -8.63%E -4.29%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -10.90%E -5.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.49%EV -8.75%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -2.71%E -0.668%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:01
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.11%EV -9.36%E -3.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -10.45%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.51%EV -9.36%E -3.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.72%E -6.63%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.83%EV -15.20%E -4.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.49%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.72%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-09-12 14:20