Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund

2026-10-14 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV -0.812%
Avantage -0.250%
Kelly -0.361%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%30.53%30.50%31.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.033.003.2535.09%33.03%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Borussia Dortmund (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.46%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.52%45.45%45.50%46.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.072.1552.63%48.80%48.31%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.02%4.16cote équitable
EV -0.063%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.90%24.02%24.00%25.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.533.893.904.1628.33%25.68%25.64%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Bodø/Glimt (Local) : 30.52% ; Borussia Dortmund (Visiteur) : 45.46% ; Match nul : 24.02%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.163. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.160, pour une espérance de -0.063% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.812%E -0.250%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.812%E -0.250%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:18
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.50%EV -1.42%E -0.440%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.82%EV -2.27%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.68%EV -0.063%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-12 19:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -2.34%E -0.731%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.54%EV -4.99%E -2.39%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.53%EV -2.95%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:17
ReBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 29.76%EV -6.61%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.30%EV -8.63%E -4.29%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.44%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -10.90%E -5.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.49%EV -8.75%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.45%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -2.71%E -0.668%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:01
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.11%EV -9.36%E -3.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -10.45%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.51%EV -9.36%E -3.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.72%E -6.63%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.83%EV -15.20%E -4.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.49%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.72%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-12 14:56
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-09-12 14:20