StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Bayern Munich v Arsenal

2026-10-21 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Bayern Munich (Hemma)

Prognos 44.20%2.26rättvist odds
EV -0.544%
Fördel -0.242%
Kelly -0.435%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.10%44.22%44.19%45.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.092.092.2550.00%47.86%47.85%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Borta)

Prognos 30.41%3.29rättvist odds
EV -1.15%
Fördel -0.355%
Kelly -0.512%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.10%30.41%30.44%32.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.68%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.38%3.94rättvist odds
EV -0.500%
Fördel -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.02%25.37%25.37%26.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.613.603.9229.41%27.71%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Bayern Munich (Hemma): 44.20%; Arsenal (Borta): 30.41%; Oavgjort: 25.38%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.94. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.92, med väntevärdet -0.500%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.29%EV -0.544%E -0.242%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV -2.28%E -0.591%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-14 23:04
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 44.18%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.69%EV -2.37%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.13%EV -0.500%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-14 22:40
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:04
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -1.46%E -0.450%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.18%EV -4.08%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.04%E -0.795%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:39
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 23:40
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.00%EV -6.63%E -2.16%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -2.28%E -0.591%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:45
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 00:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:19
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-14 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 23:03
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 23:04
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -5.85%E -2.75%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 22:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 23:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.06%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.11%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 23:37
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:25
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-14 23:30
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-14 22:10
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -11.67%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.10%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 00:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%4.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%4.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%4.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%7.4%2026-10-15 00:30
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.65%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%8.6%2026-10-14 22:14