Idioma:Español
Bayern Munich v Arsenal
Resultado del partido
Bayern Munich (Local)
Predicción 44.20%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.544%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.10%44.22%44.19%45.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.092.2550.00%47.86%47.85%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arsenal (Visitante)
Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.512%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.10%30.41%30.44%32.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.68%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.38%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.500%
Ventaja -0.128%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.02%25.37%25.37%26.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.613.603.9229.41%27.71%27.78%25.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bayern Munich (Local): 44.20%; Arsenal (Visitante): 30.41%; Empate: 25.38%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.92, con un valor esperado de -0.500%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.29%EV -0.544%E -0.242%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV -2.28%E -0.591%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-14 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.18%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.69%EV -2.37%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.13%EV -0.500%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-10-14 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -1.46%E -0.450%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.18%EV -4.08%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.04%E -0.795%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.00%EV -6.63%E -2.16%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -2.28%E -0.591%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 00:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 23:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-14 23:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -5.85%E -2.75%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.67%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.06%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.11%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-14 23:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 23:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -3.55%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -11.67%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-14 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.10%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.71%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.65% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59% | 8.6% | 2026-10-14 22:14 |