A Escola das Odds

Bayer Leverkusen v Arsenal

Início: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bayer Leverkusen (Local)

Previsão 17.72%5.64odd justa
EV +5.45%
Vantagem +0.915%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.060%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.25%17.69%17.77%19.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.385.305.9521.05%18.60%18.87%16.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arsenal (Visitante)

Previsão 58.74%1.70odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.95%58.81%58.68%61.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.581.601.6668.03%63.27%62.50%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.54%4.25odd justa
EV +3.59%
Vantagem +0.815%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.91%23.50%23.55%25.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.044.004.4029.41%24.77%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +5.45%E +0.915%K +1.10%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -2.30%E -0.554%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 01:49
Betsson5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +5.45%E +0.915%K +1.10%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -2.30%E -0.554%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 01:49
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.80%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%4.7%2026-02-28 03:14
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
Bally Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.34%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +0.057%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 03:14
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.48%EV -0.049%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.38%EV -2.50%E -1.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.14%EV +0.292%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.4%2026-02-27 15:00
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -4.42%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -4.42%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.057%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 03:14
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 03:14
Pinnacle5.51I 18.15%NM 17.21%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -5.12%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 14:04
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 16:09
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 20:44
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 13:48
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 03:14
Suprabets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.89%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 21:02
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -13.66%E -9.29%K -29.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 03:14
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -13.66%E -9.29%K -29.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 03:14
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 14:04
GTbets5.27I 18.98%NM 18.05%EV -6.61%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -5.12%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 16:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 14:44
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 14:05
Caesars5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:29
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 17:05
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:29
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 00:49
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 13:50
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.62%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 16:19
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -9.62%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 14:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:30
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:29
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 15:00
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-27 13:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -14.94%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 15:39
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Parions Sport (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%7.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54