مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bayer Leverkusen v Arsenal

البداية: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bayer Leverkusen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.72%5.64السعر العادل
EV +5.45%
الأفضلية +0.915%
Kelly +1.10%
النمو +0.060%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.25%17.69%17.77%19.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.385.305.9521.05%18.60%18.87%16.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arsenal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.74%1.70السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -3.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.95%58.81%58.68%61.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.581.601.6668.03%63.27%62.50%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.54%4.25السعر العادل
EV +3.59%
الأفضلية +0.815%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.91%23.50%23.55%25.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.044.004.4029.41%24.77%25.00%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +5.45%E +0.915%K +1.10%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -2.30%E -0.554%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 01:49
Betsson5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +5.45%E +0.915%K +1.10%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -2.30%E -0.554%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 01:49
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +2.79%E +0.480%K +0.581%G +0.016%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +3.59%E +0.815%K +1.06%G +0.038%2.5%2026-02-28 03:14
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.80%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%4.7%2026-02-28 03:14
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
Bally Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +1.23%E +0.287%K +0.374%G +0.005%5.2%2026-02-28 03:14
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.400%G +0.008%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.34%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +0.057%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 03:14
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.48%EV -0.049%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.38%EV -2.50%E -1.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.14%EV +0.292%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.4%2026-02-27 15:00
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -4.42%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.53%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -4.42%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.057%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 03:14
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -0.758%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 03:14
Pinnacle5.51I 18.15%NM 17.21%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -5.12%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 14:04
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 16:09
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 20:44
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 13:48
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 03:14
Suprabets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.89%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 21:02
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -13.66%E -9.29%K -29.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 03:14
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -4.30%E -0.797%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -13.66%E -9.29%K -29.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 03:14
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 14:04
GTbets5.27I 18.98%NM 18.05%EV -6.61%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -5.12%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 16:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 14:44
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 14:05
Caesars5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:29
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.61%E -4.16%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 17:05
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:29
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 00:49
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 13:50
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.47%E -0.847%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -7.85%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.62%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 16:19
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -9.62%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 14:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:30
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:29
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 15:00
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -19.95%E -5.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-27 13:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -14.94%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 15:39
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 14:59
Parions Sport (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -10.13%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 13:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%7.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54