The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AEK Athens v LASK

2026-09-08 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 55.61%1.80fair odd
EV -0.463%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.586%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.92%55.60%55.56%56.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.691.681.7963.29%59.33%59.52%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 20.77%4.81fair odd
EV +3.86%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.66%20.77%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.464.405.0026.32%22.42%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV -0.791%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%23.73%23.67%25.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.904.2027.78%25.56%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AEK Athens (Local): 55.61%; LASK (Visit): 20.77%; Draw: 23.62%. For LASK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +3.86%E +0.772%K +0.964%G +0.037%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:29
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.36%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.98%EV +1.36%E +0.280%K +0.352%G +0.005%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.66%EV -2.68%E -0.651%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV +0.742%E +0.153%K +0.193%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 00:22
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.39%EV -0.463%E -0.259%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.45%EV -1.13%E -0.237%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.16%EV -8.59%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.30%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.34%E -0.281%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -4.24%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.14%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:30
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -7.14%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:05
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 23:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -9.64%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.68%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.68%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:55
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 19:05
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.86%EV -9.36%E -5.74%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 20:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -12.14%E -7.68%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 53.92%EV -12.14%E -7.68%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -21.07%E -5.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-29 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-08-29 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-08-29 19:10
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.33%GTbets 1.79 (56.0%) / PointsBet (AU) 5.00 (20.1%) / Coolbet 4.20 (23.9%)Show details
AEK Athens (Local)LASK (Visit)DrawMargin
GTbets🎯 1.79 (56.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 5.00 (20.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.9%)+0.326%