A Escola das Odds

Trabzonspor v Goztepe

Início: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 1–1 Goztepe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Previsão 52.69%1.90odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.83%52.89%52.49%56.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.731.741.8362.50%57.91%57.47%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goztepe (Visitante)

Previsão 21.97%4.55odd justa
EV +5.45%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%21.75%22.25%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.374.404.8026.67%22.89%22.73%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.34%3.95odd justa
EV +0.080%
Vantagem +0.020%
Kelly +0.027%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.80%25.36%25.26%26.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.693.703.9531.25%27.13%27.03%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:20
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:49
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -13.58%E -8.28%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:26
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV +1.50%E +0.324%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -7.01%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:50
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -9.29%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:25
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:26
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:25
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.83%EV -2.24%E -0.503%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV -0.680%E -0.173%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 07:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:50
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 16:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.24%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -8.03%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.89%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -16.52%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.00%E -7.19%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.62%E -4.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-05-02 16:44
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-05-02 16:55