La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Trabzonspor v Goztepe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Trabzonspor (Local)
Predicción 52.69%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.83%52.89%52.49%56.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.741.8362.50%57.91%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goztepe (Visitante)
Predicción 21.97%4.55momio equitativo
EV +5.45%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%21.75%22.25%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.404.8026.67%22.89%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.080%
Ventaja +0.020%
Kelly +0.027%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%25.36%25.26%26.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.693.703.9531.25%27.13%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -13.58%E -8.28%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:26 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV +1.50%E +0.324%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -7.01%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -9.29%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:26 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.83%EV -2.24%E -0.503%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV -0.680%E -0.173%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betsson | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.24%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -8.03%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.89%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -16.52%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.00%E -7.19%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.62%E -4.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 16:44 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |