L’École des cotes

Trabzonspor v Goztepe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Score final : Trabzonspor 1–1 Goztepe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 52.69%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%52.89%52.49%56.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.741.8362.50%57.91%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Goztepe (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.97%4.55cote équitable
EV +5.45%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%21.75%22.25%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.404.8026.67%22.89%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV +0.080%
Avantage +0.020%
Kelly +0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%25.36%25.26%26.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.693.703.9531.25%27.13%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +5.45%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV +0.080%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:20
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +4.35%E +0.916%K +1.16%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.19%E -0.304%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:25
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:49
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -13.58%E -8.28%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.880%G +0.029%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:26
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV +1.50%E +0.324%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -7.01%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:50
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -9.29%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:25
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:26
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -15.69%E -9.81%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV +1.06%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:25
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.83%EV -2.24%E -0.503%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV -0.680%E -0.173%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.04%EV -2.90%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -10.81%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 07:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.34%E -0.758%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:50
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 16:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.24%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -8.03%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.89%EV -13.05%E -7.91%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -16.52%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.00%E -7.19%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.62%E -4.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-05-02 16:44
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-05-02 16:55