Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.26
assuming max odds 2.27
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 30.47%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 42.50%; Draw: 27.02%. For Trabzonspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.26, with an expected value of -0.652%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV -0.652%E -0.200%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -0.957%E -0.294%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.94%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.94%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.14%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.20%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -7.97%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.49%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -12.02%E -5.81%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.93%E -6.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-17 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03% | -0.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |