La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Trabzonspor v Genclerbirligi SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Trabzonspor (Local)
Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV -0.652%
Ventaja -0.200%
Kelly -0.289%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.52%30.48%31.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.023.003.2635.09%33.13%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)
Predicción 42.50%2.35momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%42.51%42.57%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.192.2750.00%46.01%45.66%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.753%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%26.97%26.95%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.6033.33%28.95%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV -0.652%E -0.200%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.75%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -0.957%E -0.294%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.94%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.94%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.14%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.20%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| GTbets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -7.97%E -2.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.49%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.71%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 06:01 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.95%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -12.02%E -5.81%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-14 20:16 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 20:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.93%E -6.31%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-17 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03% | -0.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |