Language:English
Trabzonspor v Basaksehir
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Trabzonspor (Local)
Prediction 49.21%2.03fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.583%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%49.10%49.42%51.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.901.912.0255.87%52.53%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Basaksehir (Visit)
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +0.900%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.08%25.62%25.35%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.604.0330.77%27.96%27.78%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.30%3.95fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.28%25.23%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.604.0429.85%27.63%27.78%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 49.21%; Basaksehir (Visit): 25.49%; Draw: 25.30%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV +2.73%E +0.677%K +0.900%G +0.025% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV +2.21%E +0.547%K +0.727%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.71%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.18%EV -2.37%E -0.619%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -2.85%E -0.742%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.38%EV -11.20%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.65%E -0.965%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.65%E -0.965%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.99%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -12.46%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.47%E -4.55%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.38%EV -2.07%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.20%E +0.299%K +0.399%G +0.005% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -0.595%E -0.295%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -0.595%E -0.295%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.95%EV -11.91%E -6.66%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -11.42%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.47%E -4.55%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.45%E -5.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -15.25%E -4.55%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -15.25%E -4.55%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |