Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 16:00 UTC

Score final : Trabzonspor 2–1 Basaksehir

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 49.21%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.595%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.583%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%49.10%49.42%51.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.901.912.0255.87%52.53%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Basaksehir (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.49%3.92cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.677%
Kelly +0.900%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.08%25.62%25.35%27.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.604.0330.77%27.96%27.78%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.547%
Kelly +0.727%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.28%25.23%26.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.623.604.0429.85%27.63%27.78%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Trabzonspor (Local) : 49.21% ; Basaksehir (Visiteur) : 25.49% ; Match nul : 25.30%. Pour Basaksehir (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.92. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.03, soit une espérance positive de +2.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.90%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV +2.73%E +0.677%K +0.900%G +0.025%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV +2.21%E +0.547%K +0.727%G +0.016%3.0%2026-08-23 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.71%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.18%EV -2.37%E -0.619%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -2.85%E -0.742%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:54
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 15:49
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.14%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.38%EV -11.20%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.65%E -0.965%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.65%E -0.965%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:54
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 15:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.99%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -12.46%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:54
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.47%E -4.55%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:54
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.38%EV -2.07%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 15:54
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 15:50
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 15:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.96%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.20%E +0.299%K +0.399%G +0.005%4.9%2026-08-23 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -0.595%E -0.295%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -0.595%E -0.295%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.95%EV -11.91%E -6.66%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -11.42%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:53
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 15:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.47%E -4.55%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.45%E -5.14%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -14.61%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.95%E -5.43%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -15.25%E -4.55%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -15.25%E -4.55%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-23 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-23 15:54
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-23 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-23 15:54
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-08-23 15:54
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-23 15:50