Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.20
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torku Konyaspor (Local): 19.98%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 56.07%; Draw: 23.94%. For Torku Konyaspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +3.91%E +0.752%K +0.932%G +0.036% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +1.91%E +0.375%K +0.467%G +0.009% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.73%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +1.91%E +0.375%K +0.467%G +0.009% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.73%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -4.68%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -5.66%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -0.884%E -0.178%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.69%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.76%EV -2.31%E -0.566%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -11.97%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.68%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.50%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.08%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.86%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.06%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -6.08%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.93%EV -6.68%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.68%EV -9.73%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.93%EV -6.68%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.68%EV -9.73%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.564%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -10.28%E -6.43%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -11.97%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -14.21%E -9.29%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.17%EV -11.40%E -7.22%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.47%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -14.07%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.40%E -7.22%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |