Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Torku Konyaspor v Fenerbahce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Score final : Torku Konyaspor 0–3 Fenerbahce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Prévision 19.98%5.00cote équitable
EV +3.91%
Avantage +0.752%
Kelly +0.932%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%19.87%19.95%21.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.744.755.2023.26%21.09%21.07%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.07%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.50%56.17%56.16%58.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.641.7265.36%61.10%60.98%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.94%4.18cote équitable
EV +0.564%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.176%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.58%23.96%23.89%25.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.853.854.2029.41%25.96%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Torku Konyaspor (Local) : 19.98% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 56.07% ; Match nul : 23.94%. Pour Torku Konyaspor (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.00. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.20, soit une espérance positive de +3.91%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +3.91%E +0.752%K +0.932%G +0.036%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +1.91%E +0.375%K +0.467%G +0.009%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.73%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +1.91%E +0.375%K +0.467%G +0.009%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.73%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -4.68%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -5.66%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 16:59
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -0.884%E -0.178%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.69%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.76%EV -2.31%E -0.566%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -11.97%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.425%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.84%EV -12.53%E -8.03%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.68%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 16:59
GTbets🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 19.50%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.08%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.86%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.06%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -6.08%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:59
NordicBet🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 19.93%EV -6.68%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.68%EV -9.73%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 19.93%EV -6.68%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.68%EV -9.73%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.564%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%5.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -10.28%E -6.43%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -11.97%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.16%E -5.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -10.08%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -14.21%E -9.29%K -26.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.17%EV -11.40%E -7.22%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 17:00
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.47%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -14.07%E -3.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.40%E -7.22%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-09 17:00