La scuola delle quote

Torku Konyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük

Inizio: 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Finale: Torku Konyaspor 3–0 Fatih Karagümrük

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Torku Konyaspor (Casa)

Previsione 51.95%1.93quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.07%51.91%52.00%54.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.771.771.8760.24%56.54%56.50%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fatih Karagümrük (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.00%4.76quota equa
EV +0.793%
Vantaggio +0.165%
Kelly +0.209%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.71%20.99%21.03%22.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.464.504.8026.67%22.41%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.05%3.70quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -0.723%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.01%27.10%26.97%28.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.433.453.6033.33%29.17%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.12%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV +0.793%E +0.165%K +0.209%G +0.002%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.79%EV -6.12%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 10:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:20
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:50
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.09%EV -1.94%E -0.415%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.89%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -2.36%E -0.507%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 08:22
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.84%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.94%EV -2.78%E -0.600%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 10:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -12.73%E -7.58%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 08:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 08:39
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.47%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 08:53
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:50
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:48
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.06%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 08:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 08:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:50
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 08:40
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.42%E -4.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 08:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -21.26%E -5.67%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-12 10:50
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-12 11:00