La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Torku Konyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Torku Konyaspor (Local)
Predicción 51.95%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.07%51.91%52.00%54.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.771.8760.24%56.54%56.50%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fatih Karagümrük (Visitante)
Predicción 21.00%4.76momio equitativo
EV +0.793%
Ventaja +0.165%
Kelly +0.209%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.71%20.99%21.03%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.464.504.8026.67%22.41%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.723%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%27.10%26.97%28.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.6033.33%29.17%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.12%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV +0.793%E +0.165%K +0.209%G +0.002% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.79%EV -6.12%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.09%EV -1.94%E -0.415%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.89%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -2.36%E -0.507%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 08:22 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.84%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.94%EV -2.78%E -0.600%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -12.73%E -7.58%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 08:39 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.47%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 08:53 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 10:48 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.06%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 08:54 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 08:40 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.42%E -4.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -21.26%E -5.67%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |