L’École des cotes

Torku Konyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Score final : Torku Konyaspor 3–0 Fatih Karagümrük

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Prévision 51.95%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.07%51.91%52.00%54.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.771.771.8760.24%56.54%56.50%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fatih Karagümrük (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.00%4.76cote équitable
EV +0.793%
Avantage +0.165%
Kelly +0.209%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.71%20.99%21.03%22.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.464.504.8026.67%22.41%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%27.10%26.97%28.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.453.6033.33%29.17%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.12%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV +0.793%E +0.165%K +0.209%G +0.002%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.79%EV -6.12%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 10:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:20
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.257%E -0.054%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -11.17%E -6.53%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -1.31%E -0.278%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:50
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.09%EV -1.94%E -0.415%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.89%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -2.36%E -0.507%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 08:22
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.84%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.94%EV -2.78%E -0.600%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 10:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -12.73%E -7.58%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.41%E -0.741%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 08:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 08:39
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -13.77%E -8.29%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.47%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.05%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.07%EV -10.45%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 08:53
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:50
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:48
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.06%EV -7.54%E -4.23%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 08:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 08:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:50
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 08:40
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.09%E -5.20%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.42%E -4.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.57%E -4.87%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 08:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -13.91%E -3.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -9.61%E -5.52%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -16.01%E -4.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -10.13%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -21.26%E -5.67%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-12 10:50
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-12 11:00