Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor v Torku Konyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.47%43.72%43.57%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.63%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.546%
Kelly +0.747%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%27.47%27.60%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.253.7132.79%30.15%30.77%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%28.81%28.83%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.31%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 43.74%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 27.50%; Draw: 28.76%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.79%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.20%EV +2.02%E +0.546%K +0.747%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -5.52%E -2.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV +2.02%E +0.546%K +0.747%G +0.015%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV +0.374%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV +0.374%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.00%E -0.278%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:24
Betsson🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -8.58%E -4.11%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.48%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:14
NordicBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -8.58%E -4.11%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.48%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:04
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.46%E -4.57%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:22
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.46%E -4.57%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:14
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -4.30%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:15
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -2.90%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:10
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -4.65%E -2.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 11:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 11:04
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:49
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -14.20%E -4.55%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -11.71%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.17%E -5.96%K -9.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 10:49
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 45.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-04-05 11:05