La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Samsunspor v Torku Konyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 43.74%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.47%43.72%43.57%45.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.63%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Torku Konyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.546%
Kelly +0.747%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%27.47%27.60%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.323.253.7132.79%30.15%30.77%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.76%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.52%28.81%28.83%30.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.79%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.20%EV +2.02%E +0.546%K +0.747%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -5.52%E -2.56%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV +2.02%E +0.546%K +0.747%G +0.015% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV +0.374%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV +0.374%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.00%E -0.278%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Betsson | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -8.58%E -4.11%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.48%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -8.58%E -4.11%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.48%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.46%E -4.57%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 11:22 |
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.46%E -4.57%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -4.30%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -2.90%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -4.65%E -2.13%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.72%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -14.20%E -4.55%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -11.71%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.17%E -5.96%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -16.13%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |