Школа коэффициентов

Samsunspor v Goztepe

Начало: 2026-05-16 17:02 UTC

Итог: Samsunspor 3–0 Goztepe

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Samsunspor (Хозяева)

Прогноз 30.65%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.15%
Преимущество +0.348%
Kelly +0.499%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.48%30.61%30.56%32.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.093.103.3036.36%32.40%32.26%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Goztepe (Гости)

Прогноз 42.58%2.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.353%
Преимущество -0.151%
Kelly -0.264%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.34

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.44%42.66%42.58%45.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.152.152.3450.00%46.62%46.51%42.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.77%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -0.409%
Kelly -0.561%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.24%26.73%26.86%28.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.473.503.6833.33%28.78%28.57%27.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:00
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -12.70%E -6.20%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:56
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.92%E -0.599%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -13.98%E -6.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 17:00
GTbets3.19I 31.35%NM 29.96%EV -2.22%E -0.697%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.05%EV -5.46%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.00%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:59
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 17:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.18%EV -8.02%E -3.71%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:59
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.85%EV -4.37%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:59
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:57
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 17:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:57
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.39%EV -9.30%E -4.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:57
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.39%EV -9.30%E -4.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:59
Betsson3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -8.87%E -4.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 17:00
NordicBet3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -8.87%E -4.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 17:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.61%E -2.06%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -9.80%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 16:57
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -7.44%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.48%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.50%E -0.409%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 16:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 17:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -3.76%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -3.76%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:59
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:59
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 16:59
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:59
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:59
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 17:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -14.18%E -5.06%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -15.71%E -5.71%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-16 17:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-05-16 17:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-05-16 17:00
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-05-16 17:00