L’École des cotesSamsunspor v Goztepe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Samsunspor (Local)
Prévision 30.65%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.348%
Kelly +0.499%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%30.61%30.56%32.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.093.103.3036.36%32.40%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Goztepe (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.58%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.353%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.264%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.44%42.66%42.58%45.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.3450.00%46.62%46.51%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.77%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.561%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.24%26.73%26.86%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.6833.33%28.78%28.57%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV +1.15%E +0.348%K +0.499%G +0.006% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -0.385%E -0.119%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -12.70%E -6.20%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:56 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -1.92%E -0.599%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -13.98%E -6.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| GTbets | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.96%EV -2.22%E -0.697%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.05%EV -5.46%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.00%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.18%EV -8.02%E -3.71%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.85%EV -4.37%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:57 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:57 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.39%EV -9.30%E -4.36%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:57 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.39%EV -9.30%E -4.36%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Betsson | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -8.87%E -4.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -8.87%E -4.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.61%E -2.06%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -9.80%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 16:57 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -7.44%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.48%EV -0.353%E -0.151%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.50%E -0.409%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -3.76%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -3.76%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.05%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.57%E -5.04%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.83%E -7.42%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -14.18%E -5.06%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -15.71%E -5.71%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.44%E -3.93%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |