Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Samsunspor v Goztepe

Inizio: 2026-08-17 18:30 UTC

Finale: Samsunspor 3–3 Goztepe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Samsunspor (Casa)

Previsione 43.23%2.31quota equa
EV -0.993%
Vantaggio -0.434%
Kelly -0.770%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.44%43.23%43.30%44.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.162.152.2949.50%46.33%46.51%43.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Goztepe (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.54%3.50quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.362%
Kelly -0.509%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.50%28.60%28.45%30.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.4633.33%31.11%31.25%28.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.23%3.54quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -0.760%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.22%28.18%28.25%29.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.57%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Samsunspor (Casa): 43.23%; Goztepe (Trasferta): 28.54%; Pareggio: 28.23%. Per Samsunspor (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.31. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.29, con un valore atteso del -0.993%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.44%EV -0.993%E -0.434%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -10.39%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 16:44
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 09:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 18:00
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -2.11%E -0.615%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.16%EV -3.47%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -1.25%E -0.362%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -1.25%E -0.362%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 18:04
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 18:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 17:54
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.27%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.55%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 18:05
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.27%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.55%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 17:49
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 17:50
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -8.34%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 18:18
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 18:15
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.46%EV -9.24%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.46%EV -10.24%E -3.22%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 17:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 18:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.67%E -6.27%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-17 18:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.3%2026-08-17 18:25
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.3%2026-08-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-17 18:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-17 18:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-08-17 18:10