Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Samsunspor (Local): 43.23%; Goztepe (Visitante): 28.54%; Empate: 28.23%. Para Samsunspor (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.29, con un valor esperado de -0.993%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.44%EV -0.993%E -0.434%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -10.39%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -2.11%E -0.615%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.16%EV -3.47%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -1.25%E -0.362%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -1.25%E -0.362%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.27%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.55%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.27%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.55%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -8.34%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 18:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.46%EV -9.24%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.46%EV -10.24%E -3.22%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 17:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.67%E -6.27%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 18:10 |