La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Samsunspor v Besiktas JK
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Samsunspor (Casa)
Previsione 30.36%3.29quota equa
EV +6.26%
Vantaggio +1.79%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescita +0.157%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.89%30.12%30.38%31.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.163.103.5035.09%31.67%32.26%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Besiktas JK (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.48%2.30quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.12%43.74%43.45%47.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.072.102.2452.36%48.20%47.62%44.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.16%3.82quota equa
EV +0.720%
Vantaggio +0.187%
Kelly +0.253%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.80%26.14%26.17%27.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.543.543.8532.26%28.26%28.25%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +0.187%E +0.057%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -0.421%E -0.128%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.11%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV -3.47%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -2.24%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -4.67%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.91%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.720%E +0.187%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -8.31%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.85%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -6.08%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.01%EV -15.22%E -7.80%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.90%E -6.10%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |