L’École des cotesFrançais
Samsunspor v Besiktas JK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Samsunspor (Local)
Prévision 30.36%3.29cote équitable
EV +6.26%
Avantage +1.79%
Kelly +2.50%
Croissance +0.157%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.89%30.12%30.38%31.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.163.103.5035.09%31.67%32.26%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Besiktas JK (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.48%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.12%43.74%43.45%47.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.102.2452.36%48.20%47.62%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.720%
Avantage +0.187%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.80%26.14%26.17%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.543.8532.26%28.26%28.25%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +0.187%E +0.057%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -0.421%E -0.128%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.11%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV -3.47%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -2.24%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -4.67%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.91%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.720%E +0.187%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -8.31%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.85%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -6.08%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.01%EV -15.22%E -7.80%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.90%E -6.10%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |