La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Samsunspor v Besiktas JK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV +6.26%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.157%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%30.12%30.38%31.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.163.103.5035.09%31.67%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Besiktas JK (Visitante)
Predicción 43.48%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.12%43.74%43.45%47.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.102.2452.36%48.20%47.62%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.720%
Ventaja +0.187%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.80%26.14%26.17%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.543.8532.26%28.26%28.25%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV +6.26%E +1.79%K +2.50%G +0.157% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV +4.74%E +1.37%K +1.93%G +0.092% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +0.187%E +0.057%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -0.421%E -0.128%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.11%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV -3.47%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -2.24%E -0.696%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -3.76%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -4.67%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.91%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.720%E +0.187%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.80%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -8.31%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.85%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -6.08%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.01%EV -15.22%E -7.80%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.95%E -8.88%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.90%E -6.10%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |