Language:English
Kocaelispor v Goztepe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kocaelispor (Local)
Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +0.196%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%31.33%31.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.2037.04%34.40%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goztepe (Visit)
Prediction 36.92%2.71fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.78%36.90%36.99%39.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.532.6844.44%39.74%39.53%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%31.77%31.65%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.95%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 31.31%; Goztepe (Visit): 36.92%; Draw: 31.77%. For Kocaelispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.196%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV +0.196%E +0.061%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.36%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -2.62%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.14%EV -1.04%E -0.390%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -5.98%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -2.52%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -9.79%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -2.52%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -9.79%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -11.01%E -4.57%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.77%EV -6.21%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -8.20%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.80%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.33%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.87%EV -10.10%E -3.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.80%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.33%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.87%EV -10.10%E -3.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.44%EV -8.83%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.40%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.08%E -6.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.82%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.04%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.23%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.03%EV -6.93%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 13:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.80% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.79% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |