L’École des cotes

Kocaelispor v Goztepe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Kocaelispor 1–1 Goztepe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prévision 31.31%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.196%
Avantage +0.061%
Kelly +0.089%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.88%31.33%31.36%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.2037.04%34.40%34.48%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Goztepe (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.92%2.71cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.390%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.78%36.90%36.99%39.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.522.532.6844.44%39.74%39.53%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.493%
Kelly -0.728%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.22%31.77%31.65%33.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.95%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV +0.196%E +0.061%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.36%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -2.62%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.14%EV -1.04%E -0.390%K -0.621%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -5.98%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 13:59
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -2.52%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -9.79%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -2.52%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -9.79%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:58
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -11.01%E -4.57%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.77%EV -6.21%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -8.20%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.02I 33.11%NM 30.80%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.33%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.87%EV -10.10%E -3.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.80%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.33%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.87%EV -10.10%E -3.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:01
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.44%EV -8.83%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:01
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.40%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:58
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.08%E -6.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:01
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.82%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.04%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.53%E -0.493%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:01
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 14:01
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:01
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.41%EV -10.28%E -4.23%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.03%EV -6.93%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:01
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 14:01
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:56
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:01
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%1.4%2026-04-18 14:01
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.80%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32%1.4%2026-04-18 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%1.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%1.6%2026-04-18 14:01
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-04-18 14:01
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%4.0%2026-04-18 14:00