La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Kocaelispor (Casa)
Previsione 45.68%2.19quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.835%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.59%45.62%45.68%47.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.042.052.1552.36%48.94%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fatih Karagümrük (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.06%3.84quota equa
EV -0.173%
Vantaggio -0.045%
Kelly -0.061%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.46%26.10%26.08%27.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.493.503.8331.75%28.68%28.57%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.26%3.54quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.477%
Kelly -0.669%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.44%28.27%28.24%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.4834.72%31.12%31.25%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -6.69%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -1.66%E -0.477%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.96%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.06%EV -7.31%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.68%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.10%EV -0.173%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.28%E -3.58%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.73%E -3.83%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -10.02%E -5.08%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.47%E -5.34%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -11.84%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.61%E -6.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |