مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük

البداية: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kocaelispor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.68%2.19السعر العادل
EV -1.80%
الأفضلية -0.835%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.59%45.62%45.68%47.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.042.052.1552.36%48.94%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fatih Karagümrük (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.06%3.84السعر العادل
EV -0.173%
الأفضلية -0.045%
Kelly -0.061%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.46%26.10%26.08%27.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.493.503.8331.75%28.68%28.57%26.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.26%3.54السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.477%
Kelly -0.669%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.44%28.27%28.24%29.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.203.4834.72%31.12%31.25%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -6.69%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -1.66%E -0.477%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:59
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.835%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.96%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.06%EV -7.31%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -3.17%E -1.49%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.68%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 16:54
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.10%EV -0.173%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
NordicBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson2.06I 48.54%NM 45.12%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.28%E -3.58%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.73%E -3.83%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.955%E -0.251%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.65%E -4.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -8.72%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -17.90%E -5.68%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -10.02%E -5.08%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.47%E -5.34%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -11.84%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.61%E -6.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-05-09 17:00